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Cal State Northridge (18-14 in 2025–26) hosts UC San Diego (21-11 in 2025–26) on Mar 6, 2027, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCSD offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CSUN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
CSUN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · UCSD defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCSDCSUN
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCSDCSUNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josiah Davis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 32.3 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Leo Beath | 29.7 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Alex Chaikin | 29.1 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Hudson Mayes | 29.1 | 15.2 | 6.9 | 2.6 |
| Bol Dengdit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| Jaden Vance | 18.5 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 16.3 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Aidan Burke | 15.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 34.1 | 14.8 | 8.7 | 2.7 |
| Josiah Davis | 33.8 | 17.6 | 5.5 | 8.9 |
| Larry Hughes II | 33.1 | 16.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30.2 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Brinson | 20.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| James Evans Jr. | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 11.6 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Davius Loury | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
UCSD offenseper gameCSUN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCSDForAgainst46% of UCSD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CSUNForAgainst46% of CSUN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCSD 7series3 CSUN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | UCSD 70 | CSUN 80 | CSUN+10 | +10 |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UCSD 64 | CSUN 81 | CSUN+17 | +17 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CSUN 84 | UCSD 79 | CSUN+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | UCSD 77 | CSUN 71 | UCSD+6 | +6 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | CSUN 54 | UCSD 79 | UCSD+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | UCSD 79 | CSUN 69 | UCSD+10 | +10 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | CSUN 62 | UCSD 83 | UCSD+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | CSUN 62 | UCSD 75 | UCSD+13 | +13 |
| Jan 26, 2023 | UCSD 65 | CSUN 57 | UCSD+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2022 | UCSD 83 | CSUN 77 | UCSD+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCSD19-11 · last 30 games | CSUN17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 69.7#331 of 361 | 77.1#71 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 70.9#219 of 361 | 85.4#35 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 69.1#117 of 361 | 75.0#2 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 102.4#327 of 361 | 108.1#238 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.