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Missouri (20-12 in 2025–26) hosts LSU (15-17 in 2025–26) on Mar 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MIZ defense in 0
MIZ offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · LSU defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LSUMIZ
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LSUMIZNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mark Mitchell Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon | 34.3 | 17.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Marquel Sutton | 32.5 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Pablo Tamba | 31.1 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 |
| Jalen Reece | 31.0 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 25.3 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Rashad King | 22.5 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Mike Nwoko | 22.5 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 1.0 |
| Robert Miller III | 20.2 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. | 35.9 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Jayden Stone | 31.7 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| T.O. Barrett | 29.7 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Trent Pierce | 29.5 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 23.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 21.2 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 |
| Jacob Crews | 17.7 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Trent Burns | 10.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
LSU offenseper gameMIZ defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LSUForAgainst45% of LSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MIZForAgainst44% of MIZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LSU 5series3 MIZ| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | MIZ 70 | LSU 78 | LSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | LSU 67 | MIZ 83 | MIZ+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | MIZ 80 | LSU 84 | LSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | MIZ 81 | LSU 76 | MIZ+5 | +5 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | LSU 77 | MIZ 87 | MIZ+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | MIZ 68 | LSU 76 | LSU+8 | +8 |
| Feb 26, 2022 | MIZ 55 | LSU 75 | LSU+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | LSU 86 | MIZ 80 | LSU+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LSU13-17 · last 30 games | MIZ18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.2%#65 of 361 | 45.8%#266 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 69.7#90 of 361 | 67.7#202 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −4.2#165 of 361 | +11.9#55 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.5#71 of 361 | 111.2#154 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.