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TCU (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts UCF (21-11 in 2025–26) on Mar 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TCU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
TCU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UCF defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCFTCU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCFTCUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Xavier Edmonds's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks | 33.9 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 5.9 |
| Jordan Burks | 32.1 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 30.2 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.9 |
| Riley Kugel | 29.3 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| John Bol | 22.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Johnson | 18.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Devan Cambridge | 16.1 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 14.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 32.3 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Brock Harding | 30.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 5.1 |
| David Punch | 29.9 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| Micah Robinson | 27.5 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| Xavier Edmonds | 26.3 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 1.1 |
| Tanner Toolson | 23.9 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 23.8 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 |
| Kayden Edwards | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
UCF offenseper gameTCU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCFForAgainst46% of UCF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TCUForAgainst46% of TCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCF 3series1 TCU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | TCU 71 | UCF 82 | UCF+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | UCF 78 | TCU 89 | TCU+11 | +11 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TCU 58 | UCF 85 | UCF+27 | +27 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | UCF 79 | TCU 77 | UCF+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCF20-10 · last 30 games | TCU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 81.0#83 of 361 | 66.4#301 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.3#176 of 361 | 104.1#304 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.8%#171 of 361 | 45.7%#280 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.2#108 of 361 | +7.5#65 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.