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Baylor (15-16 in 2025–26) hosts Kansas (23-10 in 2025–26) on Mar 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
KU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BAY defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
BAY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · KU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
KUBAY
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
KUBAYNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darryn Peterson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. | 35.9 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Flory Bidunga | 32.6 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 1.4 |
| Tre White | 30.9 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Darryn Peterson | 29.5 | 18.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Bryson Tiller | 27.4 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Jamari McDowell | 17.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 17.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Jayden Dawson | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Carr | 35.5 | 17.6 | 6.0 | 3.2 |
| Tounde Yessoufou | 34.8 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| Obi Agbim | 34.0 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Isaac Williams IV | 27.8 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Caden Powell | 25.3 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Michael Rataj | 19.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| James Nnaji | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
KU offenseper gameBAY defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
KUForAgainst48% of KU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
BAYForAgainst50% of BAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
KU 5series5 BAY| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | BAY 62 | KU 80 | KU+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | KU 70 | BAY 81 | BAY+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | KU 74 | BAY 82 | BAY+8 | +8 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BAY 61 | KU 64 | KU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | BAY 71 | KU 87 | KU+16 | +16 |
| Jan 23, 2023 | KU 69 | BAY 75 | BAY+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | KU 70 | BAY 80 | BAY+10 | +10 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | BAY 59 | KU 83 | KU+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | BAY 58 | KU 71 | KU+13 | +13 |
| Jan 18, 2021 | KU 69 | BAY 77 | BAY+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | KU21-9 · last 30 games | BAY14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 103.1#321 of 361 | 113.0#109 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 73.2#272 of 361 | 77.3#64 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 71.0#214 of 361 | 87.7#20 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.2#155 of 361 | 117.6#47 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.