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Minnesota (15-17 in 2025–26) hosts Ohio State (21-12 in 2025–26) on Mar 4, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
OSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MINN defense in 2
MINN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups · OSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OSUMINN
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
OSUMINNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bruce Thornton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36.2 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 32.9 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Devin Royal | 32.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Amare Bynum | 31.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Christoph Tilly | 24.7 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Taison Chatman | 20.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin | 38.3 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 37.1 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Isaac Asuma | 37.1 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Langston Reynolds | 36.3 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 35.0 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 2.3 |
| Grayson Grove | 26.3 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| Kai Shinholster | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Maximus Gizzi | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
OSU offenseper gameMINN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
OSUForAgainst48% of OSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MINNForAgainst48% of MINN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OSU 6series3 MINN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | MINN 74 | OSU 82 | OSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | OSU 89 | MINN 88 | OSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | OSU 79 | MINN 88 | MINN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | MINN 74 | OSU 84 | OSU+10 | +10 |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 | OSU 67 | MINN+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | MINN 45 | OSU 70 | OSU+25 | +25 |
| Jan 27, 2022 | OSU 75 | MINN 64 | OSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2021 | MINN 75 | OSU 79 | OSU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 3, 2021 | OSU 60 | MINN 77 | MINN+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OSU18-12 · last 30 games | MINN13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 78.2#86 of 361 | 68.6#299 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.9%#178 of 361 | 44.3%#346 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.5#34 of 361 | 109.5#170 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +8.4#59 of 361 | −1.3#194 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.