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Boston College (11-20 in 2025–26) hosts Florida State (18-15 in 2025–26) on Mar 3, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
BC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · FSU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FSUBC
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
FSUBCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Robert McCray V's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones | 32.9 | 14.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Robert McCray V | 30.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Chauncey Wiggins | 29.1 | 14.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Martin Somerville | 26.7 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Thomas Bassong | 24.1 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Alex Steen | 22.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| AJ Swinton | 18.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Kobe MaGee | 14.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne | 35.9 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Boden Kapke | 30.2 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Donald Hand Jr. | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Hastings | 24.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Luka Toews | 24.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Chase Forte | 24.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Aidan Shaw | 23.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.4 |
| Caleb Steger | 12.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
FSU offenseper gameBC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FSUForAgainst49% of FSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
BCForAgainst46% of BC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FSU 4series3 BC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | BC 72 | FSU 80 | FSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | FSU 76 | BC 77 | BC+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | BC 76 | FSU 84 | FSU+8 | +8 |
| Feb 6, 2024 | FSU 63 | BC 62 | FSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | BC 75 | FSU 69 | BC+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | FSU 55 | BC 71 | BC+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2021 | BC 64 | FSU 93 | FSU+29 | +29 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FSU16-14 · last 30 games | BC11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 38.0#57 of 361 | 30.7#324 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Possessions per game | 70.5#55 of 361 | 66.3#269 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against | 78.5#85 of 361 | 70.3#295 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 112.0#115 of 361 | 101.1#325 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.