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Xavier (14-18 in 2025–26) hosts Providence (15-18 in 2025–26) on Mar 3, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PROV offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · XAV defense in 0
XAV offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PROV defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PROVXAV
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PROVXAVNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylin Sellers's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks | 33.0 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Jaylin Sellers | 32.7 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Ryan Mela | 30.5 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| Jamier Jones | 30.3 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 1.3 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 27.7 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 0.9 |
| Jason Edwards | 24.4 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 22.4 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Duncan Powell | 14.6 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore | 35.0 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 32.3 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 4.0 |
| Tre Carroll | 31.7 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 29.6 | 13.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Roddie Anderson III | 22.1 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| All Wright | 21.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Isaiah Walker | 20.9 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson | 7.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
PROV offenseper gameXAV defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PROVForAgainst45% of PROV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
XAVForAgainst46% of XAV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PROV 4series6 XAV| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | XAV 84 | PROV 94 | PROV+10 | +10 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PROV 84 | XAV 97 | XAV+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | PROV 68 | XAV 76 | XAV+8 | +8 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | XAV 91 | PROV 82 | XAV+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2024 | PROV 79 | XAV 75 | PROV+4 | +4 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | XAV 85 | PROV 65 | XAV+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | XAV 94 | PROV 89 | XAV+5 | +5 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | PROV 83 | XAV 85 | XAV+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | XAV 92 | PROV 99 | PROV+7 | +7 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | PROV 65 | XAV 62 | PROV+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PROV13-17 · last 30 games | XAV12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.0%#250 of 361 | 48.2%#68 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin | +0.5#155 of 361 | −3.5#250 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.6#157 of 361 | −5.0#247 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.6#68 of 361 | 110.1#156 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.