LSU (15-17 in 2025–26) hosts Arkansas (25-8 in 2025–26) on Mar 2, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ARK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · LSU defense in 0
LSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ARK defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darius Acuff Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 37.9 | 27.4 | 3.4 | 7.0 |
| Trevon Brazile | 35.7 | 13.5 | 8.1 | 1.9 |
| Meleek Thomas | 33.8 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| Billy Richmond III | 33.7 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Malique Ewin | 22.7 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| D.J. Wagner | 22.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Karter Knox | 18.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Nick Pringle | 17.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon | 34.3 | 17.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Marquel Sutton | 32.5 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Pablo Tamba | 31.1 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 |
| Jalen Reece | 31.0 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 25.3 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Rashad King | 22.5 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Mike Nwoko | 22.5 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 1.0 |
| Robert Miller III | 20.2 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of ARK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
45% of LSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | ARK+29 | +29 | ||
| Jan 24, 2026 | ARK+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | ARK+12 | +12 | ||
| Jan 14, 2025 | LSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | ARK+11 | +11 | ||
| Feb 3, 2024 | LSU+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | ARK+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | LSU+3 | +3 | ||
| Mar 11, 2022 | ARK+12 | +12 | ||
| Mar 2, 2022 | ARK+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ARK23-7 · last 30 games | LSU13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.8%#265 of 361 | 48.2%#65 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −0.9#87 of 361 | +2.7#218 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +11.1#41 of 361 | +1.1#151 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Possessions per game | 72.4#15 of 361 | 69.7#90 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.