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Pittsburgh (13-20 in 2025–26) hosts North Carolina (24-8 in 2025–26) on Mar 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UNC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PITT defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
PITT offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UNCPITT
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UNCPITTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Caleb Wilson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 32.3 | 19.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 31.7 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Henri Veesaar | 31.2 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 1.9 |
| Derek Dixon | 27.9 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 26.7 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Luka Bogavac | 24.0 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Jonathan Powell | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Zayden High | 12.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 36.5 | 13.0 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| Cameron Corhen | 33.7 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Damarco Minor | 32.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Omari Witherspoon | 30.3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Roman Siulepa | 30.3 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 1.2 |
| Brandin Cummings | 25.3 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 25.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Macari Moore | 7.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
UNC offenseper gamePITT defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UNCForAgainst49% of UNC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PITTForAgainst44% of PITT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UNC 5series4 PITT| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | PITT 65 | UNC 79 | UNC+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | PITT 66 | UNC 67 | UNC+1 | +1 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | UNC 65 | PITT 73 | PITT+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | PITT 65 | UNC 72 | UNC+7 | +7 |
| Jan 2, 2024 | UNC 70 | PITT 57 | UNC+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2023 | PITT 65 | UNC 64 | PITT+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2022 | UNC 74 | PITT 76 | PITT+2 | +2 |
| Feb 16, 2022 | PITT 76 | UNC 67 | PITT+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2021 | UNC 75 | PITT 65 | UNC+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UNC22-8 · last 30 games | PITT10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 38.4#45 of 361 | 32.7#266 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.7#44 of 361 | −4.6#238 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.8#282 of 361 | 113.6#89 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | +7.3#46 of 361 | −2.9#235 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.