St. John's vs UConn Odds, Stats & Props — Mar 2

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What to know

Scoring margin

SJU +11.6 · CONN +12.4

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

SJU 8-2 · CONN 7-3

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

SJU 2d · CONN 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

SJU offensevsCONN defense

SJU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CONN defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

51.0%

#190

45.7%

Stronger#8

Turnovers · per 100 plays

12.6%

#33slight

15.8%

#94

Offensive rebounding %

35.9%

#28slight

28.7%

#94

Free throw rate

30.5%

#41Stronger

28.9%

#289

CONN offensevsSJU defense

CONN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SJU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.3%

#33

47.4%

slight#28

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.4%

#166

16.9%

Stronger#40

Offensive rebounding %

35.7%

#33Stronger

30.2%

#169

Free throw rate

21.5%

#305

22.8%

Stronger#91

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

SJUCONN

+16.4 17thNet rating11th +18.8

115.8 64thOffensive rating49th 117.7

99.3 16thDefensive rating14th 98.9

70.5 66thPace289th 65.8

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

SJU getting to the line
SJU offense 30.5% (41st) vs CONN defense allowing 28.9% (289th)
+248 spots
CONN offensive rebounding
CONN offense 35.7% (33rd) vs SJU defense allowing 30.2% (169th)
+136 spots
SJU offensive rebounding
SJU offense 35.9% (28th) vs CONN defense allowing 28.7% (94th)
+66 spots
SJU turnovers
SJU offense 12.6% (33rd) vs CONN defense allowing 15.8% (94th)
+61 spots
CONN 2-point shooting
CONN offense 57.1% (32nd) vs SJU defense allowing 47.5% (39th)
+7 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

SJU

VILL

BTLR

CONN

2 days rest

CONN

PROV

SJU

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

SJU · last 10

28-6 · 339 days rest

Mar 27 @ DUKE2025–26L 75–80
Mar 22 @ KU2025–26W 67–65
Mar 20 vs UNI2025–26W 79–53
Mar 14 vs CONN2025–26W 72–52
Mar 13 vs HALL2025–26W 78–68
Mar 12 vs PROV2025–26W 85–72
Mar 6 @ HALL2025–26W 72–65
Mar 3 vs GTWN2025–26W 72–69
Feb 28 vs VILL2025–26W 89–57
Feb 25 @ CONN2025–26L 40–72

8-2 in these

CONN · last 10

29-5 · 329 days rest

Apr 6 @ MICH2025–26L 63–69
Apr 4 vs ILL2025–26W 71–62
Mar 29 @ DUKE2025–26W 73–72
Mar 27 vs MSU2025–26W 67–63
Mar 22 vs UCLA2025–26W 73–57
Mar 20 vs FUR2025–26W 82–71
Mar 14 @ SJU2025–26L 52–72
Mar 13 vs GTWN2025–26W 67–51
Mar 12 vs XAV2025–26W 93–68
Mar 7 @ MARQ2025–26L 62–68

7-3 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

St. John's Red Storm

UConn Huskies

Zuby Ejiofor

SJU vs CONN

Player page →

Points No line yet

SJU at CONN

Full breakdown

Zuby Ejiofor's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

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hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

SJU rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Dillon Mitchell	31.7	7.2	7.3	4.1
Bryce Hopkins	31.6	13.3	7.3	1.4
Zuby Ejiofor	30.6	16.9	7.0	3.9
Oziyah Sellers	27.7	9.9	2.5	1.2
Dylan Darling	23.7	8.5	3.0	2.7
Joson Sanon	20.3	7.5	2.1	0.6
Ian Jackson	17.0	8.3	2.3	1.3
Ruben Prey	10.1	3.7	2.0	0.7

CONN rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Alex Karaban	34.1	11.5	5.2	2.7
Silas Demary Jr.	32.3	11.8	4.9	6.3
Solo Ball	29.1	12.8	2.9	1.8
Braylon Mullins	28.8	12.3	3.3	1.2
Tarris Reed Jr.	26.5	13.0	8.3	2.7
Jayden Ross	17.9	4.7	2.4	1.2
Eric Reibe	13.6	6.5	3.5	0.6
Jaylin Stewart	12.1	2.7	1.7	0.6

Team rankings (2025–26)History

SJU offenseper gameCONN defense

Effective FG%

190th51.0%

45.7%8th

Turnover %

33rd12.6%

15.8%94th

Offensive rebound %

28th35.9%

28.7%94th

Free throw rate

41st30.5%

28.9%289th

Points

41st81.6

65.17th

Field goal %

132nd45.4%

40.2%13th

2-point %

185th51.6%

45.8%12th

3-point %

215th33.2%

30.3%13th

Free throw %

177th72.7%

71.9%147th

Rebounds

28th38.6

30.916th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

SJUForAgainst

1st half

38.2

31.2

2nd half

37.8

34.9

Game

76.1

66.1

50% of SJU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

CONNForAgainst

1st half

36.8

33.6

2nd half

35.8

33.4

Game

72.6

67.1

51% of CONN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

SJU 5series5 CONN

Last 10SCSSSCCCCS

Avg total

148.3

combined points

Avg margin

CONN 0.3

per meeting

Biggest win

CONN +32

Feb 25, 2026

Last meeting

SJU won

Mar 14, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026SJU 2-1 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 14, 2026	CONN 52	SJU 72	SJU+20	+20
Feb 25, 2026	SJU 40	CONN 72	CONN+32	+32
Feb 6, 2026	CONN 72	SJU 81	SJU+9	+9

2025SJU 2-0 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 23, 2025	CONN 75	SJU 89	SJU+14	+14
Feb 7, 2025	SJU 68	CONN 62	SJU+6	+6

2024SJU 0-2 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 15, 2024	SJU 90	CONN 95	CONN+5	+5
Feb 3, 2024	CONN 77	SJU 64	CONN+13	+13

2023SJU 1-2 CONN

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 23, 2023	SJU 65	CONN 69	CONN+4	+4
Feb 25, 2023	CONN 95	SJU 86	CONN+9	+9
Jan 15, 2023	SJU 85	CONN 74	SJU+11	+11

Measure	SJU25-5 · last 30 games	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	69.2#112 of 361	65.3#306 of 361	68.0
2nd half points for	40.3#145 of 361	38.0#255 of 361	39.5
1st half points against	33.1#274 of 361	31.3#335 of 361	35.0

Measure	SJU25-5 · last 30 games	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	69.2#112 of 361	65.3#306 of 361	68.0
2nd half points for	40.3#145 of 361	38.0#255 of 361	39.5
1st half points against	33.1#274 of 361	31.3#335 of 361	35.0

St. John's vs UConn — College Basketball, Mar 2, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory