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Cincinnati (18-15 in 2025–26) hosts Houston (28-6 in 2025–26) on Mar 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
HOU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CIN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
CIN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · HOU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
HOUCIN
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
HOUCINNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Kingston Flemings's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan | 32.9 | 10.9 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Kingston Flemings | 32.6 | 15.5 | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Emanuel Sharp | 29.7 | 14.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | 25.7 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| Joseph Tugler | 23.3 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Mercy Miller | 14.2 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.1 |
| Chase McCarty | 13.3 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller | 33.9 | 12.9 | 9.9 | 4.3 |
| Day Day Thomas | 31.7 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Jizzle James | 30.3 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Jalen Celestine | 29.7 | 11.7 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 28.3 | 15.0 | 8.2 | 0.6 |
| Keyshuan Tillery | 15.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Sencire Harris | 13.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Kerr Kriisa | 11.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
HOU offenseper gameCIN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
HOUForAgainst49% of HOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CINForAgainst49% of CIN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
HOU 10series0 CIN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | CIN 54 | HOU 76 | HOU+22 | +22 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | HOU 67 | CIN 60 | HOU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | CIN 64 | HOU 73 | HOU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | CIN 59 | HOU 67 | HOU+8 | +8 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HOU 67 | CIN 62 | HOU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | CIN 48 | HOU 69 | HOU+21 | +21 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | CIN 69 | HOU 75 | HOU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | HOU 72 | CIN 59 | HOU+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | CIN 56 | HOU 69 | HOU+13 | +13 |
| Mar 1, 2022 | CIN 53 | HOU 71 | HOU+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HOU24-6 · last 30 games | CIN15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.1%#76 of 361 | 45.4%#299 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 120.6#19 of 361 | 106.6#238 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 64.4#337 of 361 | 67.9#194 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 1st half points for | 38.1#54 of 361 | 34.6#189 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.