Wisconsin vs Illinois Odds, Stats & Props

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

WIS +7.1 · ILL +14.6

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

WIS 6-4 · ILL 6-4

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

WIS 3d · ILL 4d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

WIS offensevsILL defense

WIS offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ILL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

54.5%

#56

47.6%

slight#35

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.2%

#5Stronger

10.2%

#361

Offensive rebounding %

29.4%

#222

27.0%

Stronger#38

Free throw rate

25.1%

#197

15.1%

Stronger#1

ILL offensevsWIS defense

ILL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · WIS defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.1%

#37Stronger

51.3%

#175

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.1%

#4Stronger

12.8%

#309

Offensive rebounding %

38.7%

#3Stronger

28.2%

#77

Free throw rate

26.0%

#157

22.2%

Stronger#78

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

WISILL

+10.2 54thNet rating7th +21.8

120.0 26thOffensive rating1st 126.6

109.7 181stDefensive rating70th 104.7

69.2 115thPace254th 66.7

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

WIS turnovers
WIS offense 11.2% (5th) vs ILL defense allowing 10.2% (361st)
+356 spots
ILL turnovers
ILL offense 11.1% (4th) vs WIS defense allowing 12.8% (309th)
+305 spots
ILL scoring
ILL offense 84.4 (18th) vs WIS defense allowing 75.9 (214th)
+196 spots
ILL 2-point shooting
ILL offense 58.2% (17th) vs WIS defense allowing 52.3% (207th)
+190 spots
WIS scoring
WIS offense 83.0 (27th) vs ILL defense allowing 69.8 (57th)
+30 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

WIS

IU

IOWA

ILL

3 days rest

ILL

ORE

WASH

WIS

4 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

WIS · last 10

24-10 · 345 days rest

Mar 19 vs HPU2025–26L 82–83
Mar 14 @ MICH2025–26L 65–68
Mar 13 @ ILL2025–26W 91–88
Mar 12 vs WASH2025–26W 85–82
Mar 7 @ PUR2025–26W 97–93
Mar 4 vs MD2025–26W 78–45
Feb 28 @ WASH2025–26W 90–73
Feb 25 @ ORE2025–26L 71–85
Feb 22 vs IOWA2025–26W 84–71
Feb 17 @ OSU2025–26L 69–86

6-4 in these

ILL · last 10

24-8 · 329 days rest

Apr 4 @ CONN2025–26L 62–71
Mar 28 vs IOWA2025–26W 71–59
Mar 26 @ HOU2025–26W 65–55
Mar 21 vs VCU2025–26W 76–55
Mar 19 vs PENN2025–26W 105–70
Mar 13 vs WIS2025–26L 88–91
Mar 8 @ MD2025–26W 78–72
Mar 3 vs ORE2025–26W 80–54
Feb 27 vs MICH2025–26L 70–84
Feb 21 @ UCLA2025–26L 94–95

6-4 in these

Player props

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Wisconsin Badgers

Illinois Fighting Illini

Nick Boyd

WIS vs ILL

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WIS at ILL

Full breakdown

Nick Boyd's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

WIS rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
John Blackwell	35.8	19.7	5.1	2.4
Nick Boyd	35.5	22.0	4.0	5.0
Nolan Winter	33.0	11.5	8.3	1.1
Andrew Rohde	28.4	4.4	2.0	2.9
Austin Rapp	23.8	10.6	4.5	1.3
Braeden Carrington	22.7	9.9	2.7	1.3
Aleksas Bieliauskas	22.5	5.3	4.7	1.0
Jack Janicki	13.7	1.0	1.3	1.0

ILL rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Keaton Wagler	37.1	20.0	4.4	5.1
David Mirkovic	31.3	14.9	7.1	2.7
Kylan Boswell	27.4	10.1	3.6	3.0
Tomislav Ivisic	27.1	9.5	6.3	2.0
Andrej Stojakovic	26.5	12.9	4.8	1.1
Jake Davis	25.9	7.4	2.9	1.1
Ben Humrichous	24.5	6.7	4.1	0.9
Zvonimir Ivisic	18.7	6.5	4.6	0.2

Team rankings (2025–26)History

WIS offenseper gameILL defense

Effective FG%

56th54.5%

47.6%35th

Turnover %

5th11.2%

10.2%361st

Offensive rebound %

222nd29.4%

27.0%38th

Free throw rate

197th25.1%

15.1%1st

Points

27th83.0

69.857th

Field goal %

154th45.0%

41.0%27th

2-point %

61st54.8%

48.0%45th

3-point %

53rd36.1%

31.4%45th

Free throw %

12th78.6%

73.4%236th

Rebounds

132nd35.5

31.119th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

WISForAgainst

1st half

37.6

34.5

2nd half

44.8

42.1

Game

82.4

76.6

46% of WIS's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

ILLForAgainst

1st half

37.6

31.5

2nd half

43.0

37.8

Game

80.6

69.3

47% of ILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

WIS 3series7 ILL

Last 10WWWIIIIIII

Avg total

160.0

combined points

Avg margin

ILL 3.2

per meeting

Biggest win

WIS +21

Feb 18, 2025

Last meeting

WIS won

Mar 13, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026WIS 2-0 ILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 13, 2026	WIS 91	ILL 88	WIS+3	+3
Feb 10, 2026	WIS 92	ILL 90	WIS+2	+2

2025WIS 1-0 ILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 18, 2025	ILL 74	WIS 95	WIS+21	+21

2024WIS 0-3 ILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 10, 2024	WIS 80	ILL 86	ILL+6	+6
Mar 17, 2024	WIS 87	ILL 93	ILL+6	+6
Mar 2, 2024	ILL 91	WIS 83	ILL+8	+8

2023WIS 0-2 ILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 28, 2023	ILL 61	WIS 51	ILL+10	+10
Jan 7, 2023	WIS 69	ILL 79	ILL+10	+10

2022WIS 0-1 ILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 2, 2022	WIS 67	ILL 80	ILL+13	+13

2021WIS 0-1 ILL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 27, 2021	ILL 74	WIS 69	ILL+5	+5

Measure	WIS20-10 · last 30 games	ILL22-8 · last 30 games	League
Points against (home at home, visitor on the road)	84.3#40 of 361	66.3#303 of 361	74.8
Possessions per game	69.2#108 of 361	66.1#277 of 361	68.0
Share of points scored in the 1st half	46.8%#174 of 361	49.3%#11 of 361	46.8%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	111.8#142 of 361	106.3#273 of 361	109.9

Measure	WIS20-10 · last 30 games	ILL22-8 · last 30 games	League
Points against (home at home, visitor on the road)	84.3#40 of 361	66.3#303 of 361	74.8
Possessions per game	69.2#108 of 361	66.1#277 of 361	68.0
Share of points scored in the 1st half	46.8%#174 of 361	49.3%#11 of 361	46.8%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	111.8#142 of 361	106.3#273 of 361	109.9

Wisconsin vs Illinois — College Basketball, Feb 28, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory