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Tennessee State (16-9 in 2025–26) hosts Southeast Missouri State (13-12 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027, 4:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SEMO offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TNST defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
TNST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SEMO defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SEMOTNST
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SEMOTNSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aaron Nkrumah's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward | 31.4 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| Braxton Stacker | 29.3 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| Brendan Terry | 28.1 | 11.4 | 5.9 | 2.3 |
| Luke Almodovar | 27.3 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Marqueas Bell | 21.1 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| Landren Blocker | 18.8 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 14.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Blaize Sagna | 9.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris | 32.1 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 5.7 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 31.9 | 18.4 | 5.8 | 3.2 |
| Travis Harper II | 30.8 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Pitre | 26.2 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 0.7 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 24.7 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 1.0 |
| Carlous Williams | 18.3 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Khalil London | 14.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Jabrion Spikes | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
SEMO offenseper gameTNST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SEMOForAgainst49% of SEMO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TNSTForAgainst47% of TNST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SEMO 7series3 TNST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | TNST 79 | SEMO 71 | TNST+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | SEMO 91 | TNST 82 | SEMO+9 | +9 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TNST 87 | SEMO 89 | SEMO+2 | +2 |
| Jan 2, 2025 | SEMO 67 | TNST 65 | SEMO+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | TNST 77 | SEMO 74 | TNST+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | SEMO 91 | TNST 83 | SEMO+8 | +8 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SEMO 65 | TNST 85 | TNST+20 | +20 |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TNST 75 | SEMO 92 | SEMO+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | TNST 55 | SEMO 79 | SEMO+24 | +24 |
| Jan 20, 2022 | TNST 63 | SEMO 85 | SEMO+22 | +22 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SEMO16-14 · last 30 games | TNST18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 37.3#281 of 361 | 40.3#145 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.2#284 of 361 | 110.4#149 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin | +0.4#158 of 361 | +3.2#98 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.6#158 of 361 | +4.6#99 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.