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Arkansas (25-8 in 2025–26) hosts Florida (25-7 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FLA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ARK defense in 1
ARK offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FLA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FLAARK
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
FLAARKNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darius Acuff Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Haugh | 32.7 | 16.6 | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| Alex Condon | 30.7 | 15.7 | 7.0 | 3.4 |
| Boogie Fland | 30.1 | 11.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Xaivian Lee | 26.9 | 11.3 | 3.2 | 5.3 |
| Rueben Chinyelu | 25.3 | 10.3 | 12.5 | 0.7 |
| Urban Klavzar | 20.9 | 10.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Micah Handlogten | 14.7 | 3.4 | 5.4 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Brown | 14.7 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 37.9 | 27.4 | 3.4 | 7.0 |
| Trevon Brazile | 35.7 | 13.5 | 8.1 | 1.9 |
| Meleek Thomas | 33.8 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| Billy Richmond III | 33.7 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Malique Ewin | 22.7 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| D.J. Wagner | 22.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Karter Knox | 18.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Nick Pringle | 17.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
FLA offenseper gameARK defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FLAForAgainst47% of FLA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ARKForAgainst47% of ARK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FLA 3series3 ARK| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | ARK 77 | FLA 111 | FLA+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | FLA 71 | ARK 63 | FLA+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | ARK 68 | FLA 90 | FLA+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | FLA 65 | ARK 84 | ARK+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | ARK 82 | FLA 74 | ARK+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2021 | FLA 64 | ARK 75 | ARK+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FLA24-6 · last 30 games | ARK23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 71.9#255 of 361 | 81.4#29 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 101.1#337 of 361 | 112.4#122 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.3%#124 of 361 | 46.4%#218 of 361 | 46.8% |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.