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⌘K
Kentucky (21-13 in 2025–26) hosts Auburn (16-16 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
AUB offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UK defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · AUB defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
AUBUK
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
AUBUKNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Otega Oweh's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall | 34.6 | 19.4 | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 34.3 | 17.7 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| Kevin Overton | 32.8 | 14.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams | 29.0 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Elyjah Freeman | 26.7 | 8.0 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 24.8 | 11.3 | 7.6 | 1.4 |
| Filip Jovic | 15.6 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| Blake Muschalek | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh | 35.7 | 21.3 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 33.6 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| Collin Chandler | 31.1 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Malachi Moreno | 23.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 21.9 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 16.4 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Brandon Garrison | 16.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Kam Williams | 12.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
AUB offenseper gameUK defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
AUBForAgainst46% of AUB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UKForAgainst44% of UK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
AUB 4series3 UK| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | UK 74 | AUB 75 | AUB+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | AUB 94 | UK 78 | AUB+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | UK 70 | AUB 59 | UK+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | AUB 54 | UK 86 | UK+32 | +32 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | UK 71 | AUB 80 | AUB+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | AUB 80 | UK 82 | UK+2 | +2 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | UK 59 | AUB 66 | AUB+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | AUB14-16 · last 30 games | UK18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 86.1#17 of 361 | 70.6#220 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −7.3#231 of 361 | +13.5#41 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 117.1#28 of 361 | 109.3#209 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.3#147 of 361 | +6.0#81 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.