South Carolina (13-19 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SC defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
SC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meechie Johnson | 32.6 | 20.0 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
| Kobe Knox | 32.4 | 12.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Mike Sharavjamts | 29.7 | 10.1 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Eli Ellis | 26.3 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Myles Stute | 21.5 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| EJ Walker | 19.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Elijah Strong | 17.4 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Nordin Kapic | 15.0 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of SC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | SC+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | MSST+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 4, 2025 | MSST+35 | +35 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | SC+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 6, 2024 | SC+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | MSST+6 | +6 | ||
| Jan 31, 2023 | MSST+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | MSST+22 | +22 | ||
| Feb 23, 2022 | SC+10 | +10 | ||
| Feb 1, 2022 | MSST+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | SC11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 71.5#23 of 361 | 67.6#207 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.9#24 of 361 | 76.9#170 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 88.4#8 of 361 | 73.4#150 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#208 of 361 | 109.7#166 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.