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South Dakota (12-16 in 2025–26) hosts Omaha (12-17 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
OMA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SDAK defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
SDAK offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · OMA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OMASDAK
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
OMASDAKNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Isaac Bruns's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Osburn | 32.5 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| Grant Stubblefield | 31.5 | 10.4 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Paul Djobet | 30.5 | 17.6 | 7.0 | 2.0 |
| Lance Waddles | 27.2 | 9.5 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Ja'Sean Glover | 23.3 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Kamryn Thomas | 16.6 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Valentino Simon | 15.9 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| Christian Richardson | 14.5 | 6.6 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Crawford | 36.7 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Uzziah Buntyn | 34.8 | 14.5 | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Isaac Bruns | 34.0 | 21.0 | 5.7 | 1.7 |
| Vince Buzelis | 31.3 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 2.1 |
| Silas Bennion | 29.5 | 4.8 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Cameron Fens | 29.2 | 18.1 | 10.5 | 1.4 |
| Ethan Kizer | 16.2 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Jesse McIntosh | 15.7 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
OMA offenseper gameSDAK defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
OMAForAgainst49% of OMA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SDAKForAgainst46% of SDAK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OMA 6series4 SDAK| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | OMA 76 | SDAK 62 | OMA+14 | +14 |
| Feb 25, 2026 | OMA 72 | SDAK 89 | SDAK+17 | +17 |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SDAK 68 | OMA 64 | SDAK+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | SDAK 75 | OMA 100 | OMA+25 | +25 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SDAK 85 | OMA 93 | OMA+8 | +8 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | OMA 87 | SDAK 91 | SDAK+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | SDAK 84 | OMA 91 | OMA+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | OMA 67 | SDAK 51 | OMA+16 | +16 |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SDAK 72 | OMA 80 | OMA+8 | +8 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | OMA 68 | SDAK 84 | SDAK+16 | +16 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OMA13-17 · last 30 games | SDAK13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.5%#43 of 361 | 46.2%#234 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 68.4#159 of 361 | 71.7#21 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 78.2#156 of 361 | 78.4#52 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.4#94 of 361 | 115.2#53 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.