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UC San Diego (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts UC Santa Barbara (16-14 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCSB offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UCSD defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
UCSD offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UCSB defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCSBUCSD
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCSBUCSDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aidan Mahaney's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 35.3 | 15.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| CJ Shaw | 32.6 | 13.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Colin Smith | 31.7 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Miro Little | 30.7 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| Zion Sensley | 26.4 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 22.0 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 21.8 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Evans Kipruto | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie | 32.3 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Leo Beath | 29.7 | 7.7 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Alex Chaikin | 29.1 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Hudson Mayes | 29.1 | 15.2 | 6.9 | 2.6 |
| Bol Dengdit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| Jaden Vance | 18.5 | 6.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Emanuel Prospere II | 16.3 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Aidan Burke | 15.3 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
UCSB offenseper gameUCSD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCSBForAgainst48% of UCSB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCSDForAgainst46% of UCSD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCSB 4series6 UCSD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | UCSD 64 | UCSB 63 | UCSD+1 | +1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCSB 62 | UCSD 48 | UCSB+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 51 | UCSD 69 | UCSD+18 | +18 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | UCSB 63 | UCSD 77 | UCSD+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | UCSD 84 | UCSB 76 | UCSD+8 | +8 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | UCSB 46 | UCSD 61 | UCSD+15 | +15 |
| Jan 4, 2024 | UCSD 79 | UCSB 72 | UCSD+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | UCSB 87 | UCSD 71 | UCSB+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | UCSD 61 | UCSB 82 | UCSB+21 | +21 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | UCSD 48 | UCSB 84 | UCSB+36 | +36 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCSB16-14 · last 30 games | UCSD19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.7#88 of 361 | 107.5#221 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.3#206 of 361 | 102.4#327 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −2.1#114 of 361 | +2.7#218 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 2nd half points against | 40.9#120 of 361 | 39.0#221 of 361 | 39.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.