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Long Island University (22-10 in 2025–26) hosts Central Connecticut (14-12 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CCSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · LIU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
LIU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CCSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CCSULIU
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CCSULIUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darin Smith Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. | 34.3 | 20.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
| Max Frazier | 30.9 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 0.9 |
| Jay Rodgers | 30.1 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| James Jones | 29.4 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Melo Sanchez | 26.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Daniel James | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Elijah Parker | 14.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Roddy Jones | 11.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Fuller | 34.7 | 17.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 |
| Greg Gordon | 33.9 | 12.7 | 5.5 | 3.3 |
| Malachi Davis | 30.9 | 12.8 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Jomo Goings | 30.4 | 10.2 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
| Shadrak Lasu | 28.6 | 6.4 | 7.1 | 0.6 |
| Mason Porter-Brown | 22.4 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Caleb Johnson | 10.4 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Max Ndlovu-Fraser | 8.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
CCSU offenseper gameLIU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CCSUForAgainst47% of CCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LIUForAgainst47% of LIU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CCSU 6series4 LIU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 | CCSU 59 | LIU+21 | +21 |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CCSU 78 | LIU 84 | LIU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | CCSU 63 | LIU 50 | CCSU+13 | +13 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 | CCSU 52 | LIU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | LIU 64 | CCSU 78 | CCSU+14 | +14 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | CCSU 72 | LIU 63 | CCSU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | CCSU 58 | LIU 42 | CCSU+16 | +16 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | LIU 59 | CCSU 78 | CCSU+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | LIU 62 | CCSU 65 | CCSU+3 | +3 |
| Jan 15, 2022 | CCSU 61 | LIU 83 | LIU+22 | +22 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CCSU18-12 · last 30 games | LIU21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.5%#212 of 361 | 49.6%#11 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 64.6#323 of 361 | 75.0#221 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.7#181 of 361 | +5.7#85 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.8#221 of 361 | 104.4#301 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.