Kansas (23-10 in 2025–26) hosts Kansas State (12-20 in 2025–26) on Feb 27, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
KSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · KU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
KU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · KSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
P.J. Haggerty's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 38.0 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| Nate Johnson | 35.4 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| David Castillo | 33.3 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Taj Manning | 28.8 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Khamari McGriff | 20.2 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
| C.J. Jones | 19.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Andrej Kostic | 17.6 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Dorin Buca | 14.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. | 35.9 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Flory Bidunga | 32.6 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 1.4 |
| Tre White | 30.9 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Darryn Peterson | 29.5 | 18.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Bryson Tiller | 27.4 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Jamari McDowell | 17.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 17.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Jayden Dawson | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of KSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of KU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | KU+19 | +19 | ||
| Jan 24, 2026 | KU+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | KSU+8 | +8 | ||
| Jan 18, 2025 | KU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | KU+22 | +22 | ||
| Feb 5, 2024 | KSU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2023 | KU+12 | +12 | ||
| Jan 17, 2023 | KSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | KU+19 | +19 | ||
| Jan 22, 2022 | KU+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | KSU10-20 · last 30 games | KU21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 82.8#13 of 361 | 70.2#298 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −10.5#290 of 361 | +11.5#62 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.4#95 of 361 | 103.1#321 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.9#255 of 361 | +7.1#71 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.