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Stetson (10-20 in 2025–26) hosts Jacksonville (10-18 in 2025–26) on Feb 25, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
JAX offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · STET defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
STET offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · JAX defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
JAXSTET
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
JAXSTETNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ethan Copeland's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Wood | 31.9 | 16.1 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. | 26.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 0.6 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. | 26.8 | 9.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Jaylen Jones | 26.5 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 2.7 |
| Evan Sterck | 25.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Donovan Rivers | 20.9 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Allen Udemadu | 13.6 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Arias | 12.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Copeland | 35.3 | 17.7 | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Jake Johnson | 32.7 | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Collin Kuhl | 28.0 | 17.6 | 7.9 | 0.6 |
| Finley Sheridan | 27.5 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| Calvin Sirmans III | 23.1 | 7.6 | 1.7 | 4.7 |
| Daniel Macgregor | 20.1 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| Alex Doyle | 18.9 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Matar Diop | 12.1 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
JAX offenseper gameSTET defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
JAXForAgainst50% of JAX's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
STETForAgainst48% of STET's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
JAX 4series6 STET| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | STET 85 | JAX 89 | JAX+4 | +4 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | JAX 62 | STET 67 | STET+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | STET 72 | JAX 79 | JAX+7 | +7 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | JAX 74 | STET 65 | JAX+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | JAX 87 | STET 88 | STET+1 | +1 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | STET 86 | JAX 73 | STET+13 | +13 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | JAX 55 | STET 71 | STET+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | STET 70 | JAX 67 | STET+3 | +3 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | JAX 61 | STET 73 | STET+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | JAX 67 | STET 45 | JAX+22 | +22 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | JAX11-19 · last 30 games | STET10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 38.5#245 of 361 | 41.6#86 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 64.7#327 of 361 | 67.5#213 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 68.8#260 of 361 | 76.6#180 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −7.2#274 of 361 | −12.0#322 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.