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New Mexico State (13-16 in 2025–26) hosts Liberty (22-7 in 2025–26) on Feb 25, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LIB offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NMSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
NMSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LIB defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LIBNMSU
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LIBNMSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jemel Jones's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny | 35.9 | 13.7 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Zach Cleveland | 35.7 | 12.6 | 6.8 | 6.1 |
| Colin Porter | 35.5 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 35.3 | 15.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| JJ Harper | 26.9 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Josh Smith | 15.1 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Zander Carter | 11.7 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones | 30.3 | 19.9 | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| Julius Mims | 29.2 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 0.6 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 26.7 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 0.3 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 25.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Gabe Pickens | 24.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Jayland Randall | 19.8 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Elijah Elliott | 18.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 13.8 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
LIB offenseper gameNMSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LIBForAgainst47% of LIB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NMSUForAgainst44% of NMSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LIB 5series1 NMSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | LIB 77 | NMSU 75 | LIB+2 | +2 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NMSU 71 | LIB 73 | LIB+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2025 | LIB 64 | NMSU 54 | LIB+10 | +10 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NMSU 60 | LIB 68 | LIB+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | NMSU 58 | LIB 83 | LIB+25 | +25 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | LIB 73 | NMSU 79 | NMSU+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LIB23-7 · last 30 games | NMSU13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.0%#77 of 361 | 45.4%#297 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +2.0#56 of 361 | +2.0#239 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.1#40 of 361 | 109.9#162 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 64.6#330 of 361 | 67.3#221 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.