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NJIT (15-17 in 2025–26) hosts UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) on Feb 25, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UMBC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NJIT defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
NJIT offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UMBC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UMBCNJIT
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UMBCNJITNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Sebastian Robinson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Robinson | 33.9 | 18.0 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| David Bolden | 32.1 | 11.5 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Ari Fulton | 29.3 | 11.7 | 6.1 | 0.9 |
| Melvyn Ebonkoli | 27.5 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 0.8 |
| Jordan Rogers | 26.4 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 2.3 |
| John Kelly | 14.3 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| Quentin Duncan | 13.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0.1 |
| Rocco Awad | 9.9 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
UMBC offenseper gameNJIT defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NJITForAgainst47% of NJIT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UMBC 8series2 NJIT| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | UMBC 91 | NJIT 52 | UMBC+39 | +39 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | NJIT 74 | UMBC 87 | UMBC+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | NJIT 91 | UMBC 95 | UMBC+4 | +4 |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UMBC 87 | NJIT 64 | UMBC+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | UMBC 79 | NJIT 60 | UMBC+19 | +19 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | NJIT 75 | UMBC 74 | NJIT+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | NJIT 63 | UMBC 72 | UMBC+9 | +9 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | UMBC 65 | NJIT 69 | NJIT+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | NJIT 69 | UMBC 73 | UMBC+4 | +4 |
| Jan 12, 2022 | UMBC 76 | NJIT 56 | UMBC+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | NJIT14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | +11.2#40 of 361 | −11.4#318 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +7.5#45 of 361 | −7.7#315 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.6#90 of 361 | 99.0#339 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.5#101 of 361 | 69.5#317 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.