California (20-11 in 2025–26) hosts Boston College (11-20 in 2025–26) on Feb 24, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CAL defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
CAL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Fred Payne's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne | 35.9 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Boden Kapke | 30.2 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Donald Hand Jr. | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Hastings | 24.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Luka Toews | 24.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Chase Forte | 24.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Aidan Shaw | 23.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.4 |
| Caleb Steger | 12.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden | 33.3 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| Dai Dai Ames | 32.6 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Justin Pippen | 31.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Chris Bell | 28.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Lee Dort | 22.6 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 0.5 |
| Milos Ilic | 21.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| DeJuan Campbell | 14.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Semetri Carr | 14.0 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of BC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of CAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | CAL+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | CAL+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BC11-19 · last 30 games | CAL19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 67.1#323 of 361 | 77.1#111 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.1#325 of 361 | 111.7#120 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −12.9#314 of 361 | +6.0#133 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.8#244 of 361 | +4.8#98 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.