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NC State (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Notre Dame (13-18 in 2025–26) on Feb 24, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ND offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NCSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ND defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NDNCSU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NDNCSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jalen Haralson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 35.1 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Cole Certa | 33.7 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jalen Haralson | 27.6 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Carson Towt | 25.4 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Logan Imes | 23.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Brady Koehler | 21.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Sir Mohammed | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Garrett Sundra | 16.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 31.4 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 30.6 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Williams | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 30.0 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 26.7 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Matt Able | 23.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Musa Sagnia | 9.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
ND offenseper gameNCSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NDForAgainst45% of ND's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NCSUForAgainst46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ND 3series4 NCSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCSU 90 | ND 96 | ND+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2025 | ND 65 | NCSU 66 | NCSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | NCSU 54 | ND 52 | NCSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | ND 82 | NCSU 85 | NCSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | ND 69 | NCSU 57 | ND+12 | +12 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | NCSU 65 | ND 73 | ND+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2021 | NCSU 80 | ND 69 | NCSU+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ND12-18 · last 30 games | NCSU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 33.1#253 of 361 | 37.8#60 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.0%#167 of 361 | 45.0%#327 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 66.9#234 of 361 | 69.2#104 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −2.4#213 of 361 | +5.7#84 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.