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Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) hosts Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) on Feb 24, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DUKE offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LOU defense in 0
LOU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DUKELOU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DUKELOUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
DUKE offenseper gameLOU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LOUForAgainst48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DUKE 9series1 LOU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | LOU 52 | DUKE 83 | DUKE+31 | +31 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | DUKE 84 | LOU 73 | DUKE+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | LOU 62 | DUKE 73 | DUKE+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2024 | DUKE 76 | LOU 65 | DUKE+11 | +11 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LOU 59 | DUKE 84 | DUKE+25 | +25 |
| Jan 23, 2024 | DUKE 83 | LOU 69 | DUKE+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | LOU 62 | DUKE 79 | DUKE+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | DUKE 74 | LOU 65 | DUKE+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | DUKE 70 | LOU 56 | DUKE+14 | +14 |
| Feb 27, 2021 | LOU 80 | DUKE 73 | LOU+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 48.7%#37 of 361 | 45.8%#268 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 65.5#296 of 361 | 69.5#94 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 39.8#163 of 361 | 43.0#42 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 97.2#359 of 361 | 104.5#299 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.