TCU (21-11 in 2025–26) hosts Kansas (23-10 in 2025–26) on Feb 24, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
KU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · TCU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
TCU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · KU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darryn Peterson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. | 35.9 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 5.4 |
| Flory Bidunga | 32.6 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 1.4 |
| Tre White | 30.9 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Darryn Peterson | 29.5 | 18.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Bryson Tiller | 27.4 | 8.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Jamari McDowell | 17.9 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 17.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Jayden Dawson | 7.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 32.3 | 10.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Brock Harding | 30.5 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 5.1 |
| David Punch | 29.9 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 2.6 |
| Micah Robinson | 27.5 | 10.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| Xavier Edmonds | 26.3 | 14.9 | 9.2 | 1.1 |
| Tanner Toolson | 23.9 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 23.8 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 0.6 |
| Kayden Edwards | 7.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of KU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of TCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | KU+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 6, 2026 | KU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2025 | KU+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | KU+5 | +5 | ||
| Jan 21, 2023 | TCU+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | KU+13 | +13 | ||
| Mar 3, 2022 | KU+4 | +4 | ||
| Mar 1, 2022 | TCU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | KU+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | KU21-9 · last 30 games | TCU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.8%#30 of 361 | 45.7%#280 of 361 | 46.8% |
| 1st half points against | 33.5#250 of 361 | 35.4#160 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 68.1#179 of 361 | 69.5#95 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.