Tennessee (22-11 in 2025–26) hosts South Carolina (13-19 in 2025–26) on Feb 23, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TENN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
TENN offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SC defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nate Ament's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meechie Johnson | 32.6 | 20.0 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
| Kobe Knox | 32.4 | 12.9 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Mike Sharavjamts | 29.7 | 10.1 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Eli Ellis | 26.3 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Myles Stute | 21.5 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| EJ Walker | 19.1 | 3.0 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Elijah Strong | 17.4 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Nordin Kapic | 15.0 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 36.1 | 17.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Nate Ament | 32.8 | 20.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 |
| Bishop Boswell | 28.8 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| Felix Okpara | 28.1 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Estrella | 23.3 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 0.9 |
| Jaylen Carey | 19.1 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| Amari Evans | 17.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| DeWayne Brown II | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of SC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of TENN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | TENN+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | TENN+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | TENN+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 30, 2024 | SC+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | TENN+40 | +40 | ||
| Jan 7, 2023 | TENN+43 | +43 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | TENN+24 | +24 | ||
| Jan 11, 2022 | TENN+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | TENN+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SC11-19 · last 30 games | TENN19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −11.1#300 of 361 | +17.0#15 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 69.3#246 of 361 | 84.7#40 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.2#99 of 361 | 105.0#295 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −3.6#225 of 361 | +12.3#35 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.