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Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) hosts Texas (17-14 in 2025–26) on Feb 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TEX offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 0
MSST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TEX defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TEXMSST
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TEXMSSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain | 35.9 | 20.3 | 8.0 | 3.2 |
| Jordan Pope | 29.5 | 13.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Tramon Mark | 28.5 | 13.6 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Matas Vokietaitis | 28.1 | 15.8 | 7.5 | 1.0 |
| Camden Heide | 25.1 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| Chendall Weaver | 20.3 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 18.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Nic Codie | 16.8 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
TEX offenseper gameMSST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TEXForAgainst45% of TEX's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TEX 1series1 MSST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | MSST 101 | TEX 98 | MSST+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | TEX 87 | MSST 82 | TEX+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TEX17-13 · last 30 games | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | +6.6#51 of 361 | −4.7#272 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +9.6#52 of 361 | −6.6#266 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 122.0#11 of 361 | 108.1#208 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 79.3#45 of 361 | 76.6#181 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.