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San Diego (10-21 in 2025–26) hosts Pacific (16-15 in 2025–26) on Feb 23, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PAC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · USD defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
USD offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · PAC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PACUSD
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PACUSDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Elias Ralph's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph | 34.3 | 15.8 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| TJ Wainwright | 33.3 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| Jaden Clayton | 31.6 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 6.9 |
| Justin Rochelin | 30.1 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 1.2 |
| Isaac Jack | 21.5 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Jaion Pitt | 18.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| Kajus Kublickas | 16.7 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| KC Ibekwe | 10.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 29.5 | 12.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Ty-Laur Johnson | 27.1 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 4.9 |
| Adrian McIntyre | 25.6 | 9.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 23.8 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Assane Diop | 23.0 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Gavin Ripp | 22.1 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| Dominique Ford | 20.0 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Vuk Boskovic | 17.7 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
PAC offenseper gameUSD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PACForAgainst48% of PAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
USDForAgainst44% of USD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PAC 4series6 USD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | USD 70 | PAC 77 | PAC+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | PAC 54 | USD 66 | USD+12 | +12 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USD 81 | PAC 77 | USD+4 | +4 |
| Feb 6, 2025 | USD 69 | PAC 71 | PAC+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | PAC 65 | USD 75 | USD+10 | +10 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PAC 69 | USD 81 | USD+12 | +12 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | USD 89 | PAC 84 | USD+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | USD 94 | PAC 99 | PAC+5 | +5 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | PAC 84 | USD 82 | PAC+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | PAC 54 | USD 60 | USD+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PAC16-14 · last 30 games | USD10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 36.8#310 of 361 | 44.1#16 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.4#271 of 361 | 114.3#77 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 65.4#301 of 361 | 69.2#110 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin | +1.6#130 of 361 | −6.1#293 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.