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Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) hosts LSU (15-17 in 2025–26) on Feb 20, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 0
MSST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LSUMSST
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LSUMSSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon | 34.3 | 17.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Marquel Sutton | 32.5 | 13.1 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Pablo Tamba | 31.1 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 1.7 |
| Jalen Reece | 31.0 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 4.9 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 25.3 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 4.0 |
| Rashad King | 22.5 | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Mike Nwoko | 22.5 | 12.2 | 6.1 | 1.0 |
| Robert Miller III | 20.2 | 6.1 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
LSU offenseper gameMSST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LSUForAgainst45% of LSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LSU 2series6 MSST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | MSST 80 | LSU 66 | MSST+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | LSU 62 | MSST 91 | MSST+29 | +29 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | LSU 69 | MSST 81 | MSST+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | MSST 70 | LSU 60 | MSST+10 | +10 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MSST 87 | LSU 67 | MSST+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | LSU 53 | MSST 64 | MSST+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | MSST 65 | LSU 69 | LSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2021 | LSU 94 | MSST 80 | LSU+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LSU13-17 · last 30 games | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −4.2#165 of 361 | −2.1#309 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.6#67 of 361 | 108.1#208 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 78.5#55 of 361 | 76.6#181 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.1#151 of 361 | −6.6#266 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.