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⌘K
Kentucky (21-13 in 2025–26) hosts Arkansas (25-8 in 2025–26) on Feb 20, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ARK offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UK defense in 0
UK offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ARK defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ARKUK
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ARKUKNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darius Acuff Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. | 37.9 | 27.4 | 3.4 | 7.0 |
| Trevon Brazile | 35.7 | 13.5 | 8.1 | 1.9 |
| Meleek Thomas | 33.8 | 15.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 |
| Billy Richmond III | 33.7 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Malique Ewin | 22.7 | 9.1 | 5.8 | 0.8 |
| D.J. Wagner | 22.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Karter Knox | 18.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Nick Pringle | 17.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh | 35.7 | 21.3 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 33.6 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| Collin Chandler | 31.1 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Malachi Moreno | 23.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 21.9 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 16.4 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Brandon Garrison | 16.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Kam Williams | 12.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
ARK offenseper gameUK defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ARKForAgainst47% of ARK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UKForAgainst44% of UK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ARK 4series4 UK| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | UK 85 | ARK 77 | UK+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | ARK 89 | UK 79 | ARK+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | ARK 102 | UK 111 | UK+9 | +9 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | UK 63 | ARK 57 | UK+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | UK 88 | ARK 79 | UK+9 | +9 |
| Feb 7, 2023 | ARK 88 | UK 73 | ARK+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | UK 73 | ARK 75 | ARK+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2021 | ARK 81 | UK 80 | ARK+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ARK23-7 · last 30 games | UK18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 44.1#18 of 361 | 38.4#258 of 361 | 39.7 |
| 1st half points for | 41.5#9 of 361 | 35.2#154 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Possessions per game | 72.4#15 of 361 | 68.7#143 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.4#122 of 361 | 109.3#209 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.