Sam Houston (19-11 in 2025–26) hosts New Mexico State (13-16 in 2025–26) on Feb 20, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NMSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SHSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
SHSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · NMSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jemel Jones's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemel Jones | 30.3 | 19.9 | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| Julius Mims | 29.2 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 0.6 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 26.7 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 0.3 |
| Anthony Wrzeszcz | 25.4 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Gabe Pickens | 24.1 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 3.0 |
| Jayland Randall | 19.8 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Elijah Elliott | 18.5 | 6.5 | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Kyrese Mullen | 13.8 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Walker | 31.0 | 15.1 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Po'Boigh King | 30.6 | 16.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. | 30.3 | 9.5 | 4.8 | 2.3 |
| Kashie Natt | 29.3 | 10.1 | 10.1 | 2.7 |
| Jacobe Coleman | 26.9 | 10.2 | 2.9 | 2.0 |
| Justin Begg | 26.8 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 3.2 |
| Veljko Ilic | 25.9 | 12.2 | 5.3 | 2.1 |
| Matt Dann | 13.1 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of NMSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of SHSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | SHSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | NMSU+9 | +9 | ||
| Mar 8, 2025 | SHSU+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 2, 2025 | NMSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | SHSU+21 | +21 | ||
| Jan 25, 2024 | SHSU+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | SHSU+13 | +13 | ||
| Jan 20, 2022 | SHSU+25 | +25 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NMSU13-17 · last 30 games | SHSU19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.4%#297 of 361 | 47.6%#96 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 67.3#221 of 361 | 69.7#88 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points against | 39.7#182 of 361 | 41.6#86 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | 0.0#171 of 361 | +5.7#83 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.