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North Dakota State (24-7 in 2025–26) hosts South Dakota State (11-18 in 2025–26) on Feb 20, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SDST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · NDSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
NDSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SDST defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SDSTNDSU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SDSTNDSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Joe Sayler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sayler | 35.2 | 17.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Jaden Jackson | 32.7 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 2.9 |
| Matthew Mors | 30.5 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Kalen Garry | 29.9 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Damon Wilkinson | 26.3 | 15.1 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Bubz Alvarez | 17.3 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Luke Haertle | 16.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| Alec Squires | 13.5 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz | 33.1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 5.7 |
| Trevian Carson | 31.4 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas | 30.1 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Markhi Strickland | 24.5 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Tay Smith | 24.1 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| Noah Feddersen | 21.5 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Treyson Anderson | 18.1 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| Emil Skytta | 13.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
SDST offenseper gameNDSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SDSTForAgainst47% of SDST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NDSUForAgainst48% of NDSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SDST 4series6 NDSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | NDSU 74 | SDST 66 | NDSU+8 | +8 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | SDST 65 | NDSU 76 | NDSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | NDSU 77 | SDST 68 | NDSU+9 | +9 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SDST 72 | NDSU 62 | SDST+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | SDST 78 | NDSU 61 | SDST+17 | +17 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | NDSU 74 | SDST 73 | NDSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | NDSU 89 | SDST 79 | NDSU+10 | +10 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | NDSU 85 | SDST 90 | SDST+5 | +5 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | SDST 59 | NDSU 65 | NDSU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | NDSU 69 | SDST 75 | SDST+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SDST11-19 · last 30 games | NDSU24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | −0.7#189 of 361 | +8.6#28 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −1.0#189 of 361 | +12.6#29 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.6#167 of 361 | 103.4#315 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 1st half points against | 35.6#149 of 361 | 32.6#290 of 361 | 35.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.