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Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) and Gonzaga (30-3 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Feb 20, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
GONZ offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
DUKE offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · GONZ defense in 3
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
GONZDUKE
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
GONZDUKENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Graham Ike's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Ike | 34.7 | 22.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 29.1 | 7.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| Mario Saint-Supery | 24.0 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Davis Fogle | 23.3 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Jalen Warley | 23.3 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 22.5 | 10.7 | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| Adam Miller | 20.9 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Braeden Smith | 16.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
GONZ offenseper gameDUKE defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
GONZForAgainst48% of GONZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
GONZ 0series1 DUKE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | GONZ 81 | DUKE 84 | DUKE+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GONZ27-3 · last 30 games | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 69.8#82 of 361 | 65.5#296 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 44.0#24 of 361 | 39.8#163 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.5%#125 of 361 | 48.7%#37 of 361 | 46.9% |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.