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Louisiana (11-22 in 2025–26) hosts Arkansas State (18-12 in 2025–26) on Feb 17, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ARST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ARST defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ARSTUL
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ARSTULNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Dorian Finister's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon | 29.8 | 15.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Jalen Hampton | 28.2 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 1.5 |
| Chandler Jackson | 27.7 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Matt Hayman | 23.2 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| Aly Tounkara | 23.2 | 5.6 | 8.0 | 0.5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| TJ Caldwell | 19.1 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Joey Chammaa | 15.9 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finister | 32.8 | 16.4 | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| De'Vion Lavergne | 32.6 | 12.9 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Jaxon Olvera | 30.6 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 1.6 |
| Karris Bilal | 26.0 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Milan Mejia | 21.6 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Dariyus Woodson | 19.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Todd Jones Jr. | 19.8 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 0.2 |
| Mike Collins | 9.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
ARST offenseper gameUL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ARSTForAgainst48% of ARST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ULForAgainst45% of UL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ARST 6series4 UL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | UL 58 | ARST 81 | ARST+23 | +23 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | ARST 79 | UL 62 | ARST+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | ARST 83 | UL 64 | ARST+19 | +19 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UL 63 | ARST 83 | ARST+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | UL 62 | ARST 89 | ARST+27 | +27 |
| Jan 26, 2024 | ARST 75 | UL 81 | UL+6 | +6 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UL 84 | ARST 77 | UL+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | ARST 74 | UL 85 | UL+11 | +11 |
| Jan 19, 2023 | UL 80 | ARST 71 | UL+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | UL 58 | ARST 67 | ARST+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ARST18-12 · last 30 games | UL10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 72.6#14 of 361 | 63.6#353 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points for | 81.8#31 of 361 | 63.9#349 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +5.1#92 of 361 | −11.6#321 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +3.7#86 of 361 | −7.4#313 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.