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Alabama (23-9 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) on Feb 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ALA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
ALA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSSTALA
Expected pace: about 73 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSSTALANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Labaron Philon Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. | 32.3 | 21.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Amari Allen | 28.8 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| Aden Holloway | 28.1 | 15.3 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. | 27.9 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 26.5 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.5 |
| Houston Mallette | 23.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Charles Bediako | 21.6 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| London Jemison | 15.3 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
MSST offenseper gameALA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ALAForAgainst48% of ALA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSST 0series10 ALA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | MSST 75 | ALA 100 | ALA+25 | +25 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | ALA 97 | MSST 82 | ALA+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | MSST 73 | ALA 111 | ALA+38 | +38 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ALA 88 | MSST 84 | ALA+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | MSST 67 | ALA 99 | ALA+32 | +32 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | ALA 82 | MSST 74 | ALA+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2023 | MSST 49 | ALA 72 | ALA+23 | +23 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | MSST 63 | ALA 66 | ALA+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2022 | ALA 78 | MSST 67 | ALA+11 | +11 |
| Feb 16, 2022 | MSST 75 | ALA 80 | ALA+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | ALA21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | −4.7#272 of 361 | +7.6#42 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.6#266 of 361 | +10.3#49 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#208 of 361 | 123.3#5 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.8%#183 of 361 | 45.3%#305 of 361 | 46.9% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.