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Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) hosts Florida State (18-15 in 2025–26) on Feb 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
DUKE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · FSU defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
FSUDUKE
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
FSUDUKENo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones | 32.9 | 14.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Robert McCray V | 30.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Chauncey Wiggins | 29.1 | 14.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Martin Somerville | 26.7 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Thomas Bassong | 24.1 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Alex Steen | 22.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| AJ Swinton | 18.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Kobe MaGee | 14.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
FSU offenseper gameDUKE defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
FSUForAgainst49% of FSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
DUKEForAgainst52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
FSU 1series6 DUKE| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | FSU 79 | DUKE 80 | DUKE+1 | +1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | DUKE 91 | FSU 87 | DUKE+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | FSU 65 | DUKE 100 | DUKE+35 | +35 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | DUKE 76 | FSU 67 | DUKE+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | FSU 67 | DUKE 86 | DUKE+19 | +19 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | FSU 70 | DUKE 88 | DUKE+18 | +18 |
| Jan 18, 2022 | DUKE 78 | FSU 79 | FSU+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FSU16-14 · last 30 games | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 41.8#79 of 361 | 32.7#361 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 70.5#55 of 361 | 65.5#296 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 111.4#151 of 361 | 97.2#359 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | +0.4#158 of 361 | +16.7#4 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.