Loading the game…
⌘K
Iowa (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) on Feb 16, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · IOWA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
IOWA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSUIOWA
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSUIOWANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bennett Stirtz's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz | 39.9 | 22.2 | 2.6 | 3.9 |
| Cooper Koch | 30.5 | 8.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Tavion Banks | 25.7 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Kael Combs | 24.0 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 22.5 | 8.0 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Cam Manyawu | 20.5 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Isaia Howard | 18.7 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Tate Sage | 13.5 | 4.7 | 1.4 | 0.2 |
MSU offenseper gameIOWA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
IOWAForAgainst47% of IOWA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSU 3series5 IOWA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | IOWA 52 | MSU 71 | MSU+19 | +19 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | MSU 91 | IOWA 84 | MSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | IOWA 78 | MSU 71 | IOWA+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | MSU 106 | IOWA 112 | IOWA+6 | +6 |
| Jan 26, 2023 | IOWA 61 | MSU 63 | MSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | MSU 60 | IOWA 86 | IOWA+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | IOWA 88 | MSU 58 | IOWA+30 | +30 |
| Feb 2, 2021 | MSU 78 | IOWA 84 | IOWA+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | IOWA18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.4%#130 of 361 | 44.6%#341 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 2nd half points for | 42.2#64 of 361 | 39.4#189 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Possessions per game | 66.5#259 of 361 | 62.6#361 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 102.9#323 of 361 | 105.8#284 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.