Kansas State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Arizona State (17-16 in 2025–26) on Feb 16, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ASU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · KSU defense in 1
KSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ASU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
P.J. Haggerty's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum | 34.2 | 16.5 | 3.1 | 4.7 |
| Massamba Diop | 31.6 | 12.9 | 6.2 | 1.0 |
| Noah Meeusen | 29.4 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 3.1 |
| Santiago Trouet | 26.9 | 8.7 | 6.6 | 0.9 |
| Anthony Johnson | 25.9 | 12.1 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Andrija Grbovic | 19.7 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| Bryce Ford | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Allen Mukeba | 15.7 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 38.0 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| Nate Johnson | 35.4 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| David Castillo | 33.3 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Taj Manning | 28.8 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Khamari McGriff | 20.2 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
| C.J. Jones | 19.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Andrej Kostic | 17.6 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Dorin Buca | 14.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
50% of ASU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of KSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | ASU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | KSU+5 | +5 | ||
| Feb 23, 2025 | ASU+12 | +12 | ||
| Feb 4, 2025 | KSU+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ASU15-15 · last 30 games | KSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.0%#169 of 361 | 48.0%#85 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 69.8#84 of 361 | 73.0#10 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 39.7#167 of 361 | 41.0#107 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.5#169 of 361 | 107.5#220 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.