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Mississippi Valley State (2-30 in 2025–26) hosts Alabama State (9-22 in 2025–26) on Feb 15, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ALST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MVSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
MVSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ALST defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ALSTMVSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ALSTMVSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Michael James's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson | 32.4 | 13.2 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| Tyler Byrd | 27.1 | 11.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Cameron Palesse | 25.0 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 24.9 | 11.0 | 6.8 | 0.5 |
| Tyler Mack | 20.9 | 5.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Asjon Anderson | 19.3 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Damarien Yates | 16.4 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 |
| Tyler Mason | 16.4 | 11.0 | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael James | 38.3 | 23.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Xzayvion Childress | 30.6 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Daniel Mayfield | 30.5 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| Patrick Punch | 30.3 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett | 29.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Mussa Mzein | 19.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Tyrone Iroghama | 11.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Samuel Murray | 11.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
ALST offenseper gameMVSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ALSTForAgainst49% of ALST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MVSUForAgainst46% of MVSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ALST 8series2 MVSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | MVSU 55 | ALST 92 | ALST+37 | +37 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ALST 89 | MVSU 69 | ALST+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025 | ALST 79 | MVSU 56 | ALST+23 | +23 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MVSU 55 | ALST 84 | ALST+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | MVSU 46 | ALST 61 | ALST+15 | +15 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | ALST 54 | MVSU 51 | ALST+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | ALST 70 | MVSU 76 | MVSU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 2, 2023 | MVSU 61 | ALST 70 | ALST+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | MVSU 85 | ALST 71 | MVSU+14 | +14 |
| Jan 3, 2022 | ALST 84 | MVSU 75 | ALST+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ALST9-21 · last 30 games | MVSU2-28 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 49.7%#8 of 361 | 45.6%#285 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.4#204 of 361 | 119.7#13 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points against | 39.6#189 of 361 | 42.7#46 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 70.2#65 of 361 | 68.6#149 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.