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UNC Wilmington (24-6 in 2025–26) hosts Stony Brook (15-15 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STBK offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNCW defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
UNCW offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · STBK defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
STBKUNCW
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
STBKUNCWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Erik Pratt's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Pratt | 36.5 | 20.7 | 5.9 | 4.7 |
| Rob Brown III | 32.5 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Andrej Shoshkikj | 32.1 | 14.7 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Richard Goods | 26.3 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Ethan Simmon | 21.5 | 7.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Tomas Valentiny | 16.5 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Quin Gorman | 15.8 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| Jonah Butler | 15.5 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge | 33.5 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Greedy Williams | 32.4 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| Christian May | 30.1 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Patrick Wessler | 30.0 | 15.3 | 10.4 | 1.3 |
| Noah Ross | 29.9 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Madison Durr | 19.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe | 16.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
STBK offenseper gameUNCW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
STBKForAgainst50% of STBK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCWForAgainst47% of UNCW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
STBK 1series4 UNCW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNCW 75 | STBK 71 | UNCW+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | STBK 70 | UNCW 80 | UNCW+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | UNCW 78 | STBK 86 | STBK+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | STBK 69 | UNCW 76 | UNCW+7 | +7 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | UNCW 62 | STBK 51 | UNCW+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STBK15-15 · last 30 games | UNCW24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | −2.7#215 of 361 | +11.5#39 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −1.8#214 of 361 | +7.5#44 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 106.2#243 of 361 | 115.0#75 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 2nd half points for | 35.9#322 of 361 | 39.8#159 of 361 | 39.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.