San José State (8-24 in 2025–26) hosts Air Force (3-29 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
AF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · SJSU defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
SJSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · AF defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Colby Garland's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hobin | 30.7 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| Kam Sanders | 28.9 | 13.0 | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| Ethan Greenberg | 28.3 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Eli Robinson | 24.9 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Wesley Celichowski | 22.7 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Caleb Walker | 18.3 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 0.7 |
| A.J. Patterson | 14.5 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Kolby Gilles | 13.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Garland | 37.5 | 21.8 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. | 37.4 | 9.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Jermaine Washington | 35.3 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Adrian Myers | 32.7 | 13.5 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Pasha Goodarzi | 31.4 | 10.3 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Sadraque NgaNga | 26.3 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 0.6 |
| Japhet Moupadele | 12.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 11.6 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.4 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
45% of AF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of SJSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | SJSU+6 | +6 | ||
| Jan 13, 2026 | SJSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | SJSU+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 11, 2025 | SJSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | SJSU+7 | +7 | ||
| Jan 13, 2024 | SJSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | SJSU+2 | +2 | ||
| Jan 24, 2023 | SJSU+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | AF+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 25, 2022 | AF+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | AF3-27 · last 30 games | SJSU8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.4%#302 of 361 | 49.1%#16 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.7#361 of 361 | 108.1#209 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 78.9#135 of 361 | 78.8#41 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Possessions per game | 66.6#250 of 361 | 65.3#307 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.