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Arkansas State (18-12 in 2025–26) hosts Troy (19-11 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TROY offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ARST defense in 2
ARST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TROY defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TROYARST
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TROYARSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Christian Harmon's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 37.4 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 2.4 |
| Cooper Campbell | 34.3 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Victor Valdes | 29.3 | 13.6 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Cobi Campbell | 27.9 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Theo Seng | 26.7 | 12.2 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 22.2 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Austin Cross | 16.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon | 29.8 | 15.4 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Jalen Hampton | 28.2 | 9.2 | 10.6 | 1.5 |
| Chandler Jackson | 27.7 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Matt Hayman | 23.2 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| Aly Tounkara | 23.2 | 5.6 | 8.0 | 0.5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 20.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| TJ Caldwell | 19.1 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Joey Chammaa | 15.9 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
TROY offenseper gameARST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TROYForAgainst46% of TROY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ARSTForAgainst48% of ARST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TROY 6series4 ARST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | ARST 74 | TROY 99 | TROY+25 | +25 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | TROY 74 | ARST 86 | ARST+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | ARST 81 | TROY 94 | TROY+13 | +13 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TROY 71 | ARST 70 | TROY+1 | +1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ARST 84 | TROY 78 | ARST+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | TROY 71 | ARST 79 | ARST+8 | +8 |
| Feb 15, 2024 | ARST 82 | TROY 71 | ARST+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | ARST 59 | TROY 63 | TROY+4 | +4 |
| Feb 16, 2023 | TROY 67 | ARST 62 | TROY+5 | +5 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | ARST 54 | TROY 66 | TROY+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TROY19-11 · last 30 games | ARST18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 32.0#311 of 361 | 36.3#108 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.9%#326 of 361 | 47.0%#153 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 69.0#120 of 361 | 72.6#14 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.