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Louisiana (11-22 in 2025–26) hosts Southern Miss (17-16 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
USM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
UL offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · USM defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
USMUL
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
USMULNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tylik Weeks's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks | 34.4 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| Dylan Brumfield | 33.9 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 3.3 |
| Djahi Binet | 29.0 | 13.5 | 8.8 | 0.7 |
| Isaac Taveras | 26.2 | 14.8 | 6.9 | 2.2 |
| Israel Hart | 25.1 | 8.9 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Curt Lewis | 18.7 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| Brewer Carruth | 13.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Chiante' Tramble | 11.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finister | 32.8 | 16.4 | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| De'Vion Lavergne | 32.6 | 12.9 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| Jaxon Olvera | 30.6 | 15.9 | 5.3 | 1.6 |
| Karris Bilal | 26.0 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Milan Mejia | 21.6 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Dariyus Woodson | 19.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| Todd Jones Jr. | 19.8 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 0.2 |
| Mike Collins | 9.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
USM offenseper gameUL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
USMForAgainst45% of USM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ULForAgainst45% of UL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
USM 5series3 UL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | USM 74 | UL 67 | USM+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | UL 54 | USM 62 | USM+8 | +8 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UL 62 | USM 60 | UL+2 | +2 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | USM 67 | UL 59 | USM+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024 | USM 61 | UL 77 | UL+16 | +16 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UL 71 | USM 82 | USM+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | UL 71 | USM 82 | USM+11 | +11 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | USM 61 | UL 75 | UL+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | USM17-13 · last 30 games | UL10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 69.3#102 of 361 | 63.6#353 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 40.8#120 of 361 | 35.2#340 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.7#182 of 361 | −11.6#321 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −0.5#182 of 361 | −7.4#313 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.