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Loyola Marymount (14-17 in 2025–26) hosts Saint Mary's (26-5 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SMC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LMU defense in 1
LMU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · SMC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SMCLMU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SMCLMUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Paulius Murauskas's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent | 37.7 | 13.7 | 2.2 | 6.3 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 32.8 | 18.3 | 7.7 | 2.1 |
| Dillan Shaw | 32.7 | 7.3 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
| Mikey Lewis | 27.0 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Andrew McKeever | 22.0 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 1.9 |
| Harry Wessels | 17.8 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| Liam Campbell | 12.1 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Rory Hawke | 9.0 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Brown Jr. | 34.8 | 13.3 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Jalen Shelley | 34.0 | 17.0 | 6.9 | 2.9 |
| Myron Amey Jr. | 32.6 | 15.5 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| Jan Vide | 29.5 | 10.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| Aaron McBride | 28.3 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 0.7 |
| Rick Issanza | 17.9 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Josh Dalton | 15.3 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| AJ Thomas | 12.5 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
SMC offenseper gameLMU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SMCForAgainst49% of SMC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LMUForAgainst45% of LMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SMC 9series1 LMU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | SMC 78 | LMU 73 | SMC+5 | +5 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SMC 58 | LMU 55 | SMC+3 | +3 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LMU 56 | SMC 81 | SMC+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | LMU 65 | SMC 70 | SMC+5 | +5 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SMC 68 | LMU 64 | SMC+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | SMC 74 | LMU 78 | LMU+4 | +4 |
| Jan 12, 2023 | LMU 62 | SMC 76 | SMC+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2022 | LMU 60 | SMC 71 | SMC+11 | +11 |
| Jan 22, 2022 | SMC 83 | LMU 51 | SMC+32 | +32 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2021 | LMU 47 | SMC 52 | SMC+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SMC25-5 · last 30 games | LMU13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.6%#37 of 361 | 44.8%#328 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +7.4#13 of 361 | +2.2#232 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 117.6#46 of 361 | 106.0#249 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +18.0#11 of 361 | −1.0#191 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.