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California (20-11 in 2025–26) hosts Miami (25-8 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MIA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CAL defense in 1
CAL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · MIA defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MIACAL
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MIACALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Malik Reneau's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson | 35.4 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Shelton Henderson | 34.2 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. | 31.3 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 0.7 |
| Malik Reneau | 30.8 | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| Dante Allen | 26.3 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Tru Washington | 25.0 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Timotej Malovec | 12.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Noam Dovrat | 8.2 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden | 33.3 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| Dai Dai Ames | 32.6 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Justin Pippen | 31.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Chris Bell | 28.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Lee Dort | 22.6 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 0.5 |
| Milos Ilic | 21.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| DeJuan Campbell | 14.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Semetri Carr | 14.0 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
MIA offenseper gameCAL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MIAForAgainst48% of MIA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CALForAgainst47% of CAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MIA 0series2 CAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | CAL 86 | MIA 85 | CAL+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | MIA 94 | CAL 98 | CAL+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MIA22-8 · last 30 games | CAL19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.3%#21 of 361 | 46.6%#202 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 77.5#70 of 361 | 75.1#219 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.2#39 of 361 | 111.7#120 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.6#30 of 361 | +4.8#98 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.