Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) hosts SMU (20-13 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SMU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · LOU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
LOU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SMU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mikel Brown Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller | 35.5 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 6.0 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 34.6 | 18.2 | 4.9 | 2.7 |
| B.J. Edwards | 30.7 | 11.6 | 6.5 | 4.2 |
| Samet Yigitoglu | 28.5 | 10.5 | 7.7 | 1.8 |
| Corey Washington | 27.2 | 11.1 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Jaden Toombs | 19.8 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. | 16.7 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Sam Walters | 8.7 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of SMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | LOU+4 | +4 | ||
| Feb 17, 2026 | SMU+10 | +10 | ||
| Jan 31, 2026 | LOU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | LOU+25 | +25 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SMU17-13 · last 30 games | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 81.5#75 of 361 | 67.5#287 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −4.1#162 of 361 | +21.0#7 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.8#161 of 361 | 104.5#299 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +8.3#60 of 361 | +15.0#19 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.