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NC State (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Boston College (11-20 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BC offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · NCSU defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
NCSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BCNCSU
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BCNCSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Fred Payne's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne | 35.9 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Boden Kapke | 30.2 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Donald Hand Jr. | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Hastings | 24.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Luka Toews | 24.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Chase Forte | 24.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Aidan Shaw | 23.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.4 |
| Caleb Steger | 12.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 31.4 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 30.6 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Williams | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 30.0 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 26.7 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Matt Able | 23.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Musa Sagnia | 9.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
BC offenseper gameNCSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BCForAgainst46% of BC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NCSUForAgainst46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BC 1series7 NCSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | NCSU 79 | BC 71 | NCSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | BC 62 | NCSU 70 | NCSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | BC 70 | NCSU 81 | NCSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | NCSU 84 | BC 78 | NCSU+6 | +6 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | NCSU 92 | BC 62 | NCSU+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | BC 69 | NCSU 61 | BC+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | NCSU 81 | BC 65 | NCSU+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2020 | BC 76 | NCSU 79 | NCSU+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BC11-19 · last 30 games | NCSU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 67.1#323 of 361 | 81.5#38 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.1#325 of 361 | 117.7#45 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 2nd half points against | 37.8#283 of 361 | 42.6#48 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 66.3#269 of 361 | 69.2#104 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.