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Virginia (28-5 in 2025–26) hosts Notre Dame (13-18 in 2025–26) on Feb 13, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ND offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UVA defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
UVA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ND defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NDUVA
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NDUVANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jalen Haralson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 35.1 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Cole Certa | 33.7 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jalen Haralson | 27.6 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Carson Towt | 25.4 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Logan Imes | 23.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Brady Koehler | 21.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Sir Mohammed | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Garrett Sundra | 16.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 29.5 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 27.7 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 |
| Sam Lewis | 26.3 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 23.8 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Malik Thomas | 22.1 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 20.5 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Johann Grunloh | 18.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Jacari White | 18.0 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
ND offenseper gameUVA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NDForAgainst45% of ND's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UVAForAgainst47% of UVA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ND 3series5 UVA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | UVA 100 | ND 97 | UVA+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | ND 74 | UVA 59 | ND+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | ND 53 | UVA 65 | UVA+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | UVA 54 | ND 76 | ND+22 | +22 |
| Feb 18, 2023 | ND 55 | UVA 57 | UVA+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | UVA 65 | ND 69 | ND+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2021 | ND 68 | UVA 80 | UVA+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2020 | UVA 66 | ND 57 | UVA+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ND12-18 · last 30 games | UVA25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.8%#329 of 361 | 47.8%#84 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.9#113 of 361 | 103.2#318 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −6.7#221 of 361 | +16.2#21 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −2.4#213 of 361 | +14.8#20 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.